SILVER COMES CRASHING DOWN

SILVER COMES CRASHING DOWN

Good morning,

Gravity finally caught up with the metals market. Silver plunged 7% in its worst single-day drop in five years, dragging other precious metals down with it. It was a sharp reversal from the historic rally we saw just last week.

Equities also took a breather. Tech stocks led a pullback as investors locked in profits following recent all-time highs. Meanwhile, President-elect Trump is keeping busy on the geopolitical front, holding high-stakes meetings with both Zelensky and Netanyahu.

Getting started.

The Pulse

As of 12/29/2025 market close.

Markets

  • U.S. stocks slipped yesterday as traders sold off tech names following last week's record highs.
  • Bond market volatility has collapsed to a four-year low.
  • Precious metals took a beating after the Christmas rally.
    • Silver dropped 7% in a single session.
  • The PBOC fixed the yuan at 7.03 per dollar. That is its strongest level in fifteen months.

Earnings

  • See the full calendar here.

Prediction Markets

  • Rumors of a bank blowing up are circulating again.
  • Trade your odds on Polymarket.

Headline Hunt

  • The U.S. offered a 15-year security guarantee to Ukraine (WSJ)
  • Trump met with Netanyahu to discuss the Middle East (BBG)
  • Tax changes are looming large for the U.S. economy next year (RT)
  • The economy is expected to ride a tax cut tailwind despite risks (RT)
  • Banks tapped the Fed's standing repo facility for $26B (RT)
  • Corporate bankruptcies are soaring as firms battle inflation and tariffs (WP)
  • Private credit BDC stocks are on track for their worst year since 2020 (BBG)
  • Canada's major pension funds will cut back on direct private equity deals (BBG)
  • European defense giants plan to return $5B to shareholders (FT)
  • The U.S. is using fraud laws to target companies pushing DEI initiatives (WSJ)
  • Agricultural giants are abandoning their pact to protect the Amazon forest (RT)
  • Andersen disclosed weak internal accounting controls in its IPO filing (WSJ)
  • Job seekers are now using dating apps to land interviews (BBG)
  • The ACCA scrapped remote exams to combat cheating (FT)

The Deal Room

M&A / Investments

  • SoftBank will acquire PE firm DigitalBridge at a $4B valuation.
  • BGH Capital agreed to acquire non-China APAC assets from Aspen Pharmacare for $1.6B.
  • BasePoint agreed to acquire UK lender International Personal Finance for $732M.
  • KKR secured negotiation rights to take Yomeishu private. The Japanese firm is listed at $500M.
  • GAM is opposing a $173M takeover of Honda subsidiary Yutaka by Samvardhana Motherson.
  • Meta acquired Chinese-led AI startup Manus.

Venture Flow

  • Traini, a pet emotional-intelligence startup, raised a $7.5M round led by Banyan Tree.

IPO / Direct Listings / Issuances / Block Trades

  • GSM, linked to VinFast, is weighing a Hong Kong IPO at a $20B valuation.
  • AirTrunk, backed by Blackstone, is eyeing a Singapore REIT IPO to raise over $1B.
  • Founder Chip Wilson launched a proxy fight at lululemon amid pressure from Elliott.

The Debt Desk

  • NNPC is in talks with Nexus Alliance for $2B in financing.

Bankruptcy Watch

  • United Site Services, backed by Platinum Equity, filed for Chapter 11 with plans to wipe out $2.4B of debt.
  • Summit Properties struck a $450M deal to acquire buildings from the bankrupt Pinnacle Group.

Fresh Capital

  • Aquilius raised $1.1B for a second APAC real estate secondaries fund.

Crypto Corner

  • Alt5 Sigma fired its auditor after the Financial Times asked about its lack of a license.

  • Bloomberg explains how banks are regaining ground on private credit amid deregulation (here).

Today’s Meme Pick

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